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Red126
246851.1
908018.7
676824.3
Blue149
910563.8
852811.5
473437.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8011150100150200126149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+27
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
15Coral scored#22
55Coral points79
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
101Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#10
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
26Game pieces#32
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
126Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.12.9
38.541.3
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
blue by 12.7
63.82.9
50.553.5
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
Second
6768
#31
24.32.9
17.320.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
blue by 12.8
4734
#18
37.12.9
30.733.6
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Third
9080
#33
18.72.9
16.118.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End2.7
red by 7.2
8528
#32
11.52.9
12.715.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed