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Red142
541162.7
978619.2
912838.8
Blue57
561311.4
265713.6
278924.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1343705010015020014257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+67Teleop
+77Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
18Coral scored#6
64Coral points22
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
88Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#2
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
12Foul points4
142Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.2
56.857.0
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
red by 38.0
2789
#27
24.70.6
24.624.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Second
9128
#17
38.80.2
40.140.3
Auto7.9
Teleop25.0
End5.9
red by 25.1
2657
#29
13.60.6
13.212.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End3.4
Third
9786
#30
19.20.2
10.710.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
red by 7.7
5613
#28
11.40.6
3.63.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed