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Red49
521224.5
708814.4
727112.1
Blue140
1034035.1
913637.5
415322.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489502040608012014016049140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+55
Endgame+67
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +38
8Coral scored#16
28Coral points56
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
36Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points24
49Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5212
#16
24.50.2
23.824.0
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
blue by 13.0
9136
#11
37.52.5
33.435.9
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
Second
7088
#26
14.40.2
12.212.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End3.7
blue by 20.8
35.12.5
24.026.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Third
7271
#36
12.10.2
10.110.3
Auto1.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 10.2
22.32.5
20.823.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned