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Red88
521224.5
912838.8
415322.3
Blue72
473437.1
908018.7
708814.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10670204060801201401601808872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
60Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
12Foul points0
88Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9128
#17
38.81.6
40.338.6
Auto7.9
Teleop25.0
End5.9
red by 1.6
4734
#18
37.10.5
33.633.1
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Second
5212
#16
24.51.6
24.022.3
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
red by 5.9
9080
#33
18.70.5
18.918.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End2.7
Third
22.31.6
23.421.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
red by 8.0
7088
#26
14.40.5
12.411.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed