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Red91
676824.3
278924.7
727112.1
Blue41
881612.9
840813.8
978619.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694202060801001201409141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
13Coral scored#5
48Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
66Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
2Foul points0
91Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2789
#27
24.71.9
24.126.0
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End4.0
red by 5.5
9786
#30
19.20.1
10.910.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Second
6768
#31
24.31.9
20.222.1
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
red by 10.5
8408
#20
13.80.1
13.413.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
7271
#36
12.11.9
10.312.3
Auto1.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 0.8
8816
#35
12.90.1
12.312.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed