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Red142
265713.6
636979.1
852811.5
Blue104
697423.8
676824.3
521224.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110380206080100120140160142104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points6
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
99Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#6
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points0
142Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.11.8
63.665.4
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
red by 54.6
5212
#16
24.52.6
11.113.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
Second
2657
#29
13.61.8
11.213.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End3.4
blue by 10.7
6768
#31
24.32.9
11.514.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
Third
8528
#32
11.51.8
13.315.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.9
blue by 12.3
6974
#14
23.82.6
16.719.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned4%Barge oddsMissed