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Red108
949249.5
913637.5
1006213.9
Blue87
874943.4
912838.8
978619.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761005015010887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
12Coral scored#12
44Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
74Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
108Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.52.5
32.935.4
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End7.4
red by 6.1
43.40.0
30.030.0
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
Second
9136
#11
37.52.5
28.030.5
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
blue by 1.2
9128
#17
38.80.0
48.548.5
Auto7.9
Teleop25.0
End5.9
Third
13.92.5
9.311.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 5.3
9786
#30
19.20.0
8.48.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed