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Red41
303537.2
708814.4
561311.4
Blue74
473437.1
950628.5
406338.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50990204060801201404174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+35
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
3Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
32Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
41Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.6
31.731.1
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
blue by 1.3
38.50.5
33.733.2
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
Second
7088
#26
14.40.6
12.011.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End3.7
blue by 22.8
4734
#18
37.10.5
26.325.8
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Third
5613
#28
11.40.6
5.75.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.1
blue by 17.0
9506
#22
28.50.5
22.021.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed