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Red132
406338.5
910563.8
908018.7
Blue89
913637.5
116432.7
851217.1
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13085406010012014016018020013289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+15Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
74Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
132Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.80.8
54.355.1
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 26.2
9136
#11
37.50.5
36.236.6
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
Second
38.50.8
38.639.5
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
red by 5.8
1164
#10
32.70.5
25.325.8
Auto6.7
Teleop24.7
End1.4
Third
9080
#33
18.70.8
17.518.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End2.7
red by 1.6
8512
#15
17.10.7
18.118.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed