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Red89
750621.0
978619.2
303537.2
Blue129
246851.1
874943.4
754021.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7211740608010014016018089129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+26
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points63
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
75Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
89Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.2
34.734.9
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
blue by 13.9
51.10.9
43.144.1
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
Second
7506
#19
21.00.2
18.618.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End5.0
blue by 22.4
43.40.9
40.841.8
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
Third
9786
#30
19.20.2
13.013.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
blue by 1.9
7540
#34
21.00.9
10.911.8
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned