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Red53
1034035.1
586619.0
425119.7
Blue114
1006213.9
541162.7
265713.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80106406012014016053114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+61
Endgame+63
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +54
6Coral scored#16
22Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
28Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
2Foul points0
53Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.8
27.325.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
blue by 27.6
62.71.1
58.859.9
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
Second
4251
#25
19.71.8
19.717.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
red by 5.9
13.91.1
14.615.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Third
5866
#24
19.01.8
19.717.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.5
End4.6
red by 5.4
2657
#29
13.61.1
12.613.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned