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Red76
676824.3
881612.9
949249.5
Blue128
415322.3
636979.1
561311.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81112406010012014016018076128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +23
8Coral scored#14
29Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
47Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
76Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.1
42.842.7
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End7.4
blue by 29.6
79.11.7
71.072.7
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
Second
6768
#31
24.30.1
22.122.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
red by 2.0
22.31.7
21.723.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Third
8816
#35
12.90.1
12.212.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 1.5
5613
#28
11.41.7
3.95.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned