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Red89
331042.1
840813.8
521224.5
Blue79
697423.8
708814.4
950628.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87672040601001201401608979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
57Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
89Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#12
42.10.7
34.835.5
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
red by 13.6
9506
#22
28.50.9
25.526.3
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Second
5212
#16
24.50.7
22.323.0
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
red by 0.7
6974
#14
23.80.9
19.820.7
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Third
8408
#20
13.80.7
13.314.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 0.6
7088
#26
14.40.9
11.812.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned