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Red128
278924.7
962019.1
473437.1
Blue53
727112.1
852811.5
912838.8
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857720406010012014016012853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
71Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
38Foul points0
128Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#18
37.10.9
33.134.0
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
blue by 1.6
9128
#17
38.80.8
38.637.8
Auto7.9
Teleop25.0
End5.9
Second
2789
#27
24.70.9
26.027.0
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End4.0
red by 12.6
7271
#36
12.10.8
12.311.4
Auto1.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Third
9620
#23
19.11.4
16.718.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6
red by 7.6
8528
#32
11.50.8
14.813.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed