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Red63
586619.0
754021.0
265713.6
Blue139
303537.2
406338.5
913637.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54140010020063139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+62
Endgame+70
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +51
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points59
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
42Total teleop93
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
6Foul points12
63Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7540
#34
21.00.0
10.910.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2
blue by 17.5
38.50.3
38.438.6
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
Second
5866
#24
19.00.0
19.719.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.5
End4.6
blue by 18.5
9136
#11
37.50.3
35.936.2
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
Third
2657
#29
13.60.0
12.612.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End3.4
blue by 23.6
37.20.3
34.434.7
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned