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Red176
636979.1
541162.7
116432.7
Blue48
561311.4
1006213.9
750621.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1791605010015020025017648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+120Teleop
+128Endgame
+128Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +92
23Coral scored#4
81Coral points15
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
18Processor points0
16Net points8
34Algae points8
115Total teleop23
Reef
10L4#2
8L3#1
6L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#7
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +128
0Foul points0
176Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.11.7
69.371.0
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
red by 58.1
7506
#19
21.00.9
17.718.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End5.0
Second
62.71.7
57.058.8
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
red by 48.9
13.90.9
13.714.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Third
1164
#10
32.71.7
23.625.3
Auto6.7
Teleop24.7
End1.4
red by 21.3
5613
#28
11.40.9
3.03.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned