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Red118
425119.7
473437.1
913637.5
Blue127
303537.2
949249.5
331042.1
11%Model gave it89%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9013050100150200118127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#17
52Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
76Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#6
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
10Foul points0
118Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9136
#11
37.51.3
37.138.5
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
blue by 12.0
49.50.7
46.146.8
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End7.4
Second
4734
#18
37.11.3
35.236.5
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
blue by 4.9
3310
#12
42.10.7
35.135.8
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
Third
4251
#25
19.71.3
15.717.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
blue by 17.5
37.20.7
35.536.2
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned