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Red73
1006213.9
840813.8
950628.5
Blue83
415322.3
246851.1
727112.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52930204060801201401607383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +20
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points27
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
39Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points6
73Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9506
#22
28.50.5
27.027.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5
blue by 22.6
51.10.6
45.444.8
Auto6.1
Teleop38.5
End6.4
Second
13.90.5
13.413.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 8.5
22.30.6
23.122.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Third
8408
#20
13.80.5
13.313.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 1.7
7271
#36
12.10.6
12.712.1
Auto1.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed