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Red155
912838.8
910563.8
676824.3
Blue75
978619.2
406338.5
265713.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141705010020015575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+58Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points42
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
101Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#2
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
155Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.81.7
56.257.9
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 25.3
38.50.3
38.237.9
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
Second
9128
#17
38.81.7
37.238.9
Auto7.9
Teleop25.0
End5.9
red by 19.6
9786
#30
19.20.3
14.213.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Third
6768
#31
24.31.7
22.824.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
red by 10.7
2657
#29
13.60.3
13.312.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed