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Red127
754021.0
708814.4
636979.1
Blue92
908018.7
962019.1
541162.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161179010011013014015016012792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +29
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
86Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
2Foul points6
127Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.11.8
72.073.8
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
red by 16.4
62.71.1
61.160.0
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
Second
7540
#34
21.01.8
12.914.7
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2
red by 2.0
9620
#23
19.11.2
21.220.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6
Third
7088
#26
14.41.8
12.514.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End3.7
blue by 4.3
9080
#33
18.71.1
19.718.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned