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Red145
541162.7
949249.5
425119.7
Blue67
913637.5
962019.1
521224.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137795010015020014567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+52Teleop
+78Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
89Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#6
10L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points0
145Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.5
60.060.5
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
red by 25.2
9136
#11
37.50.4
38.538.1
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
Second
49.50.5
46.847.3
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End7.4
red by 25.0
5212
#16
24.50.4
25.525.1
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
Third
4251
#25
19.70.5
17.017.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
red by 0.7
9620
#23
19.10.4
20.019.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6