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Red151
636963.6
384751.2
1051813.4
Blue78
941829.3
914027.5
43646.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14655010020015178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+59Teleop
+79Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points47
1Processor algae#0
7Net algae#3
6Processor points0
28Net points12
34Algae points12
90Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#17
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points6
151Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.60.5
63.063.6
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 34.3
29.30.2
29.129.3
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
Second
51.20.5
50.651.2
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
red by 23.7
9140
#10
27.50.2
27.327.5
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
Third
13.40.5
12.913.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
red by 6.6
4364
#40
6.90.2
6.76.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2