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Red142
636963.6
384751.2
1051813.4
Blue66
941829.3
914027.5
43646.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14855010020014266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+48Teleop
+66Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
80Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#14
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +76
12Foul points2
142Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.60.0
63.663.6
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 34.3
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
Second
51.20.0
51.251.2
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
red by 23.7
9140
#10
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
Third
13.40.0
13.413.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
red by 6.6
4364
#40
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2