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Red62
71389.3
557249.8
914027.5
Blue20
859810.8
69018.7
94483.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764802040601001206220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +23
7Coral scored#3
26Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
34Total teleop11
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points2
62Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.8
26.826.1
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
red by 39.0
8598
#38
10.82.8
17.614.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End0.1
Second
9140
#10
27.50.8
23.622.9
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
red by 18.8
6901
#15
8.72.8
12.810.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Third
7138
#14
9.30.8
12.511.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 6.1
9448
#41
3.12.8
12.79.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed