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Red65
47177.9
887421.0
174516.2
Blue15
541420.3
861010.6
43646.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616002040801006515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+12Teleop
+16Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +19
4Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
19Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#3
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
34Foul points0
65Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.02.3
17.915.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
red by 0.6
5414
#36
20.34.4
28.924.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Second
16.22.3
24.622.3
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End1.5
red by 5.5
8610
#29
10.64.4
13.08.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Third
4717
#32
7.92.3
9.67.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 1.0
4364
#40
6.94.4
12.98.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed