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Red27
37437.5
72719.0
941829.3
Blue46
931114.7
903419.8
857311.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625102040801001202746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
20Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
2Foul points14
27Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.33.0
27.224.2
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
red by 9.5
9034
#17
19.82.3
14.412.0
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
Second
7271
#35DQ
9.03.0
11.38.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 5.7
9311
#13
14.72.3
12.29.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
3743
#37
7.53.0
13.510.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.5
blue by 4.4
8573
#27
11.92.3
17.315.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed