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Red25
510318.9
541420.3
96645.9
Blue97
624314.3
582921.1
636963.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758340601001202597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+60
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +42
2Coral scored#10
8Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
12Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#4
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
25Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#36
20.34.6
33.528.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
blue by 43.3
63.62.8
28.831.6
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
Second
5103
#16
18.94.6
18.213.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 2.2
5829
#33
21.12.8
25.328.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Third
9664
#34
5.94.6
14.49.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End2.3
blue by 8.3
6243
#11
14.310.2
30.820.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned