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Red66
801920.1
557249.8
859810.8
Blue25
635722.2
356119.3
1279.8
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83720501001502002506625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
0Leave0
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +29
8Coral scored#2
29Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
41Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points6
66Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.81.3
28.126.8
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
red by 27.5
6357
#23
22.25.6
23.718.1
Auto3.4
Teleop16.9
End1.9
Second
20.11.3
24.823.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 0.8
3561
#18
19.35.6
22.717.1
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Third
8598
#38
10.81.3
19.017.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End0.1
red by 1.0
127
#21
9.89.9
22.212.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed