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Red52
908016.1
71389.3
45731.7
Blue22
857311.9
912110.6
47177.9
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616602040801001201405222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +12
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points10
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
28Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
14Foul points0
52Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#4
31.73.1
17.714.6
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
red by 19.8
8573
#27
11.95.1
22.417.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
Second
9080
#30
16.13.1
20.817.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End2.4
red by 5.5
9121
#19
10.65.1
20.115.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Third
7138
#14DQ
9.33.1
15.612.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 1.4
4717
#32
7.95.1
14.79.6
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed