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Red46
572615.6
887421.0
754012.9
Blue17
43646.9
589228.1
72719.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7169204060801001204617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +8
4Coral scored#3
14Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
18Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
18Foul points0
46Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.03.7
21.617.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 7.1
5892
#20
28.14.9
27.422.5
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
5726
#26
15.63.7
19.215.5
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 6.6
7271
#35DQ
9.04.9
16.311.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
7540
#12
12.93.7
20.616.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
red by 6.0
4364
#40
6.94.9
17.912.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed