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Red102
367924.2
37437.5
174516.2
Blue19
914027.5
59866.6
69018.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797120406010012014010219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +38
7Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
38Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#0
2L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
54Foul points12
102Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.22.2
25.623.3
Auto3.8
Teleop19.6
End0.8
blue by 3.3
9140
#10
27.56.2
29.823.6
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
Second
16.22.2
26.924.6
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End1.5
red by 7.4
6901
#15
8.76.2
19.012.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Third
3743
#37
7.52.2
15.713.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.5
red by 0.9
5986
#25
6.66.2
13.77.5
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned