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Red38
941829.3
861010.6
1051813.4
Blue37
582921.1
903419.8
750311.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78752040601001203837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
7Coral scored#6
24Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
32Total teleop27
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
38Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.34.1
31.327.2
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
red by 8.2
5829
#33
21.14.8
28.123.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Second
13.411.5
25.113.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
blue by 6.4
9034
#17
19.84.8
19.214.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
Third
8610
#29
10.64.1
17.113.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
blue by 0.4
7503
#31
11.14.8
21.016.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed