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Red134
510318.9
636963.6
635722.2
Blue44
801920.1
862512.9
624314.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736205010015020013444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
46Total teleop26
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
42Foul points6
134Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.62.9
31.634.4
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 43.6
20.12.6
23.420.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Second
6357
#23
22.22.9
18.120.9
Auto3.4
Teleop16.9
End1.9
red by 8.0
6243
#11
14.32.6
20.618.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Third
5103
#16
18.92.9
13.616.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
red by 6.0
8625
#24
12.92.6
11.89.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed