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Red39
908016.1
589228.1
356119.3
Blue10
75216.1
61558.8
912110.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69480204060801001201403910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +32
7Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
32Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#0
2L3#0
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points6
39Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#20
28.12.0
22.520.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
red by 17.4
9121
#19
10.64.1
15.010.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Second
3561
#18
19.32.0
17.115.1
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End2.7
red by 10.5
6155
#22
8.84.1
12.58.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Third
9080
#30
16.12.0
17.715.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End2.4
red by 10.1
7521
#39
6.14.1
13.79.5
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed