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Red67
367924.2
1051813.4
47177.9
Blue30
861010.6
356119.3
94483.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593402040801006730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+29Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +31
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
46Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
14Foul points6
67Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.0
23.424.4
Auto3.8
Teleop19.6
End0.8
red by 4.9
3561
#18
19.30.6
14.213.6
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Second
13.41.0
9.810.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
red by 2.8
8610
#29
10.60.6
6.86.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Third
4717
#32
7.91.0
10.811.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 4.7
9448
#41
3.10.6
8.67.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed