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Red77
589228.1
624314.3
750311.1
Blue41
72719.0
857311.9
510318.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574702040801007741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+36Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
44Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
18Foul points0
77Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#20
28.11.4
18.319.8
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
red by 9.2
5103
#16
18.90.2
14.714.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Second
6243
#11
14.31.4
18.319.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
red by 2.4
8573
#27
11.90.2
13.113.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
Third
7503
#31
11.11.4
9.510.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.2
red by 2.1
7271
#35
9.00.2
11.711.9
Auto0.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed