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Red28
903419.8
43646.9
96645.9
Blue74
61558.8
174516.2
557249.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3677020601001201401602874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
2Coral scored#8
7Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
15Total teleop36
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points6
28Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9034
#17
19.81.3
21.219.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
blue by 29.9
49.80.4
35.235.6
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
Second
4364
#40
6.91.3
5.84.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 9.3
16.20.4
20.220.6
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End1.5
Third
9664
#34
5.91.3
6.45.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End2.3
blue by 2.9
6155
#22
8.80.4
5.86.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned