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Red52
857311.9
367924.2
589228.1
Blue120
801920.1
43646.9
636963.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678520406010012014016052120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+68
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +47
6Coral scored#15
22Coral points55
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
26Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
6Foul points24
52Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#20
28.11.3
19.818.5
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
blue by 35.6
63.62.0
47.149.1
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
Second
24.21.3
24.423.1
Auto3.8
Teleop19.6
End0.8
red by 4.2
20.12.0
17.519.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Third
8573
#27
11.91.3
13.312.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
red by 5.0
4364
#40
6.92.0
4.56.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned