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Red17
1051813.4
59866.6
61558.8
Blue43
71389.3
572615.6
941829.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245104060801001743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +20
1Coral scored#4
2Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
2Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
17Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.40.7
10.810.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
blue by 15.9
29.30.1
24.624.4
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
Second
6155
#22
8.80.7
6.25.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 6.8
5726
#26
15.60.1
9.19.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
5986
#25
6.60.7
6.55.8
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.8
End3.3
blue by 2.6
7138
#14
9.30.1
8.58.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed