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Red49
912110.6
635722.2
903419.8
Blue85
754012.9
384751.2
931114.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66702040801001204985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
34Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
49Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#23
22.20.9
18.317.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.9
End1.9
blue by 29.0
51.22.1
35.537.6
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
Second
9034
#17
19.80.9
19.919.0
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
red by 5.1
9311
#13
14.72.1
8.610.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
9121
#19
10.60.9
11.410.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 2.3
7540
#12
12.92.1
13.415.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned