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Red22
862512.9
47177.9
356119.3
Blue51
887421.0
75216.1
557249.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366902060801001201402251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+37
Endgame+39
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +31
1Coral scored#8
4Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
8Total teleop39
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
12Foul points2
22Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#18
19.32.6
13.611.0
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End2.7
blue by 30.5
49.80.7
35.634.9
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
Second
8625
#24
12.92.6
7.65.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.8
End3.6
blue by 8.1
21.00.7
14.714.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Third
4717
#32
7.92.6
11.89.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 1.8
7521
#39
6.10.7
5.14.4
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed