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Red53
94483.1
801920.1
541420.3
Blue72
45731.7
96645.9
1279.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654002060801001205372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
5Coral scored#9
19Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
33Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
8Foul points14
53Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#36
20.31.6
21.019.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
blue by 11.4
457
#4
31.72.2
20.722.9
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
Second
20.11.6
19.517.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 10.3
127
#21
9.82.2
5.17.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Third
9448
#41
3.11.6
7.76.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.3
blue by 2.8
9664
#34
5.92.2
3.35.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned