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Red43
887421.0
635722.2
582921.1
Blue47
174516.2
356119.3
71389.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5942020801004347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +5
4Coral scored#7
16Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
30Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
43Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#23
22.20.7
17.416.6
Auto3.4
Teleop16.9
End1.9
red by 2.9
3561
#18
19.30.8
11.011.9
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Second
5829
#33
21.10.7
18.117.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End2.9
red by 4.9
16.20.8
20.421.2
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End1.5
Third
21.00.7
14.013.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
red by 11.7
7138
#14
9.30.8
8.39.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed