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Red37
861010.6
862512.9
903419.8
Blue97
636963.6
912110.6
59866.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318302040601001201403797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+58
Endgame+70
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#12
13Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
19Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
10Foul points0
37Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9034
#17
19.80.3
19.018.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
blue by 43.8
63.63.5
49.152.6
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
Second
8625
#24
12.90.3
5.14.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.8
End3.6
red by 2.2
9121
#19
10.63.5
10.414.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Third
8610
#29
10.60.3
5.55.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
red by 4.0
5986
#25
6.63.5
5.89.3
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned