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Red23
37437.5
914027.5
857311.9
Blue85
75216.1
572615.6
384751.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4258020801002385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+54
Endgame+54
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +50
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
8Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#5
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
2Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points8
23Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#10
27.51.8
20.518.6
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
blue by 23.7
51.22.9
37.640.5
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
Second
8573
#27
11.91.8
12.010.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
blue by 3.7
5726
#26
15.62.9
9.011.9
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
3743
#37
7.51.8
6.85.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.5
red by 1.5
7521
#39
6.12.9
4.47.3
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned