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Red59
941829.3
754012.9
61558.8
Blue88
541420.3
47177.9
557249.8
11%Model gave it89%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477802040601001201405988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+39
Endgame+41
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#9
19Coral points31
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
27Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
12Foul points0
59Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.5
24.424.0
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
blue by 20.4
49.82.1
34.937.1
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
Second
7540
#12
12.90.5
15.414.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 7.5
5414
#36
20.32.1
19.521.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Third
6155
#22
8.80.5
5.55.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.5
red by 0.9
4717
#32
7.92.1
9.311.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed