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Red67
887421.0
72719.0
750311.1
Blue61
1279.8
1051813.4
801920.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41491020306070806761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
29Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
26Foul points12
67Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.6
13.212.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
red by 0.9
20.10.3
17.917.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Second
7503
#31
11.10.6
11.110.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 2.3
13.40.3
11.711.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Third
7271
#35
9.00.6
9.18.5
Auto0.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 0.8
127
#21
9.80.3
7.37.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed