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Red48
624314.3
94483.1
71389.3
Blue71
356119.3
45731.7
931114.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4160020801004871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+37
Endgame+47
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
0Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +25
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
18Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
24Foul points0
48Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6243
#11
14.31.4
16.615.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
blue by 17.4
457
#4
31.72.1
22.925.0
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
Second
7138
#14
9.31.4
9.17.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 10.0
3561
#18
19.32.1
11.914.0
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Third
9448
#41
3.11.4
6.14.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.3
blue by 11.6
9311
#13
14.72.1
11.113.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned