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Red45
908016.1
96645.9
861010.6
Blue15
75216.1
37437.5
43646.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201904060801001204515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+12Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
2Coral scored#1
8Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
12Total teleop4
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#2
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
18Foul points0
45Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9080
#30
16.10.7
7.27.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End2.4
red by 8.6
3743
#37
7.50.4
5.04.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.5
Second
8610
#29
10.60.7
5.25.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
red by 3.8
4364
#40
6.90.4
3.73.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Third
9664
#34
5.90.7
5.56.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End2.3
blue by 0.1
7521
#39
6.10.4
7.36.9
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed5%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed