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Red33
857311.9
541420.3
61558.8
Blue72
635722.2
367924.2
914027.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376602060801003372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+39
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +23
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
16Total teleop39
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points18
33Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#36
20.30.6
21.620.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
blue by 7.1
9140
#10
27.50.2
18.618.5
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
Second
8573
#27
11.90.6
10.29.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
blue by 12.3
24.20.2
20.420.2
Auto3.8
Teleop19.6
End0.8
Third
6155
#22
8.80.6
5.04.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 13.4
6357
#23
22.20.2
16.616.5
Auto3.4
Teleop16.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed